{"id":66097,"date":"2024-09-03T21:52:24","date_gmt":"2024-09-03T18:52:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/furkannews.com\/?p=66097"},"modified":"2024-09-03T21:52:30","modified_gmt":"2024-09-03T18:52:30","slug":"ekonomistler-yillik-enflasyondaki-10-puanlik-dususu-nasil-yorumladi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/furkannews.com\/ekonomistler-yillik-enflasyondaki-10-puanlik-dususu-nasil-yorumladi\/","title":{"rendered":"Ekonomistler y\u0131ll\u0131k enflasyondaki 10 puanl\u0131k d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc nas\u0131l yorumlad\u0131?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

T\u00fcrkiye \u0130statistik Kurumu (T\u00dc\u0130K), A\u011fustos ay\u0131 enflasyon rakamlar\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. T\u00dc\u0130K’e g\u00f6re T\u00fcketici Fiyat Endeksi (T\u00dcFE) ayl\u0131k y\u00fczde 2,47 artt\u0131, y\u0131ll\u0131k enflasyon ise yakla\u015f\u0131k 10 puan azalarak y\u00fczde 51,97’ye geriledi.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z ara\u015ft\u0131rma kurulu\u015fu ENAG’a g\u00f6re ise enflasyon A\u011fustos ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 3,47 artt\u0131, E-T\u00dcFE\u2019nin son 12 ayl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ise y\u00fczde 90,35 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Reuters haber ajans\u0131n\u0131n anketine kat\u0131lan ekonomistler, T\u00dcFE’nin konutlarda kullan\u0131lan do\u011falgaza yap\u0131lan zamm\u0131n ard\u0131ndan A\u011fustos ay\u0131nda ayl\u0131k y\u00fczde 2,64 artmas\u0131n\u0131, y\u0131ll\u0131k olarak ise baz etkisinin katk\u0131s\u0131yla d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmesi ve y\u00fczde 52,2 seviyesinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesini bekliyordu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 Cevdet Y\u0131lmaz, “Enflasyon konusunda elde etti\u011fimiz pozitif sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n refah seviyesi ve gelir da\u011f\u0131l\u0131m\u0131 \u00fczerindeki etkilerini de \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki d\u00f6nemde g\u00f6rmeye ba\u015flayaca\u011f\u0131z” dedi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hazine ve Maliye Bakan\u0131 Mehmet \u015eim\u015fek de sosyal medya hesab\u0131ndan yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 payla\u015f\u0131mda, enflasyon verilerine ili\u015fkin de\u011ferlendirmede bulundu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Y\u0131ll\u0131k enflasyon ve ayl\u0131k g\u0131da fiyatlar\u0131ndaki de\u011fi\u015fime dikkati \u00e7eken \u015eim\u015fek, “Dezenflasyon belirginle\u015fiyor. Y\u0131ll\u0131k enflasyon son 3 ayda 23,5 puan gerileyerek y\u00fczde 52 ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti” ifadelerini kulland\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ekonomistler ne diyor?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

BBC T\u00fcrk\u00e7e<\/strong>‘ye konu\u015fan iktisat\u00e7\u0131 Hayri Kozano\u011flu, T\u00dc\u0130K enflasyonundaki y\u00fczde 10’luk d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe ra\u011fmen enflasyonda istenilen ivmenin yakalanamad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Kozano\u011flu, “Enflasyonda baz etkisi hikayesinin sonuna gelindi\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyorum” dedi ve ekledi:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

“Haziran ve Temmuz\u2019daki art\u0131\u015f devreden \u00e7\u0131k\u0131nca man\u015fet enflasyonda belirgin bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Ama bu, dezenflasyon program\u0131n\u0131n istenilen rotada oldu\u011fu anlam\u0131na gelmiyor.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Kozano\u011flu, enflasyonun y\u0131l sonunda y\u00fczde 48,7 \u00e7\u0131kaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 hesaplad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f kaydedilse dahi mevcut tempo ile enflasyonun seneyi y\u00fczde 30’un \u00fczerinde kapataca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc ifade etti.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Kozano\u011flu, \u00f6zellikle konut ve e\u011fitimdeki art\u0131\u015flara dikkat \u00e7ekti ve s\u00f6zlerine \u015f\u00f6yle devam etti:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cDar gelirli, emekli, askeri \u00fccretliler \u00f6zellikle bar\u0131nma, konut ve ula\u015ft\u0131rma gibi zaruri ihtiya\u00e7lar a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan s\u0131k\u0131\u015fm\u0131\u015f durumda. Bunlarda da fiyat art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 man\u015fet enflasyonun \u00fczerinde seyretti hep… B\u00f6yle olunca dar gelirli insanlar hayat\u0131n e\u011fitim, k\u00fclt\u00fcr, turizm gibi di\u011fer olanaklar\u0131ndan yararlanam\u0131yor.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ba\u015fkent \u00dcniversitesi Uluslararas\u0131 Finans ve Bankac\u0131l\u0131k B\u00f6l\u00fcm Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Profes\u00f6r Doktor \u015eenol Babu\u015f\u00e7u ise T\u00dc\u0130K, ENAG ve \u0130TO’nun enflasyon hesaplamalar\u0131 aras\u0131ndaki farka\u00a0dikkat \u00e7ekti.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Babu\u015f\u00e7u, X payla\u015f\u0131m\u0131nda “Enflasyon hesaplamalar\u0131 aras\u0131ndaki fark y\u0131ll\u0131kta y\u00fczde 38,38\u2019e ula\u015ft\u0131” dedi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ba\u015fka bir payla\u015f\u0131m\u0131nda ise A\u011fustos 2024 enflasyon enflasyonunun, son 61 y\u0131l\u0131n A\u011fustos ay\u0131 ortalamas\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 0,95 \u00fczerinde oldu\u011funu\u00a0vurgulad\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

ENAG Direkt\u00f6r\u00fc Profes\u00f6r Veysel Ulusoy yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 payla\u015f\u0131mda “Fiyatlar artt\u0131, enflasyon d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Ba\u015fard\u0131k”\u00a0ifadelerini kulland\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finansal Piyasalar y\u00f6neticisi \u0130ris Cibre, konut ve e\u011fitim enflasyonlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015fa\u00a0dikkat \u00e7ekti.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Cibre, “Art\u0131k biri \u015fu okul i\u015fine bir el atsa iyi olacak. \u00d6zel okullar\u0131n fiyat art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 fahi\u015f ve \u00f6\u011fretmenlerin ise bu art\u0131\u015flardan faydalanmad\u0131\u011f\u0131na eminim” dedi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ekonomist Mustafa S\u00f6nmez de e\u011fitim, konut ve d\u0131\u015far\u0131da yemek yeme masraflar\u0131ndaki y\u0131ll\u0131k art\u0131\u015f\u0131 vurgulad\u0131, e\u011fitimdeki art\u0131\u015f i\u00e7in “acizlik \u00f6rne\u011fi” dedi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Y\u0131l sonu tahminleri<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Eski T\u00fcrkiye Cumhuriyeti Merkez Bankas\u0131 (TCMB) Ba\u015fekonomisti ve Bilkent \u00dcniversitesi \u0130ktisat B\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc \u00d6\u011fretim \u00dcyesi Prof. Dr. Hakan Kara, X \u00fczerinden yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 payla\u015f\u0131mda TCMB’nin y\u0131l sonu enflasyon hedefine ula\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n zorla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131na\u00a0dikkat \u00e7ekti.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Kara, “Y\u0131l sonunda y\u00fczde 38 hedefine ula\u015fmak i\u00e7in kalan d\u00f6rt ayda enflasyonun ortalama y\u00fczde 1,3 olmas\u0131 gerekiyor” dedi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ekonomist Tun\u00e7 \u015eat\u0131ro\u011flu da Kara’n\u0131n payla\u015f\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 al\u0131nt\u0131layarak h\u00fck\u00fcmetin enflasyon tahminlerinin tutmayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc\u00a0vurgulad\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u015eat\u0131ro\u011flu, yeni Orta Vadeli Program’\u0131n (OVP) 2024 sonu enflasyon tahminin y\u00fczde 38 olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131, bunun da tutmas\u0131n\u0131 beklemedi\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Reuters haber ajans\u0131n\u0131n dokuz ekonomistin kat\u0131l\u0131m\u0131yla ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi\u011fi ankete g\u00f6re ise enflasyonun 2024 sonunda y\u00fczde 42,95 olmas\u0131 bekleniyor. Ankette tahmin aral\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00fczde 40 ve y\u00fczde 45 aras\u0131nda de\u011fi\u015fiyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Enflasyonun y\u0131l boyunca seyri<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

2024 ba\u015f\u0131nda yap\u0131lan fiyat ayarlamalar\u0131 ve asgari \u00fccret zamm\u0131n\u0131n etkisiyle Ocak ve \u015eubat ay\u0131nda T\u00dcFE s\u0131ras\u0131yla ayl\u0131k y\u00fczde 6,7 ve y\u00fczde 4,53 artt\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Mart ve Nisan ay\u0131nda T\u00dcFE g\u00f6rece yava\u015flasa da beklentilerin \u00fczerinde seyretti ve ayl\u0131k yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 3,2 artt\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

T\u00dcFE May\u0131s ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 3,37 artt\u0131, Haziran ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 2’nin alt\u0131na d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Temmuz ay\u0131nda y\u0131l ortas\u0131nda sigara ve akaryak\u0131t zamlar\u0131 ba\u015fta olmak \u00fczere vergi ve y\u00f6netilen fiyatlardaki art\u0131\u015f\u0131n da etkisiyle enflasyon yeniden ayl\u0131k bazda y\u00fczde 3,23 y\u00fckseldi. Y\u0131ll\u0131k enflasyon ise baz etkisiyle y\u00fczde 71,60’dan y\u00fczde 61,78’e geriledi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A\u011fustos ay\u0131 itibar\u0131yla konutlarda kullan\u0131lan do\u011falgaz\u0131n fiyat\u0131na yakla\u015f\u0131k iki y\u0131ld\u0131r ilk kez zam yap\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

T\u00fcrkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankas\u0131 (TCMB) Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Fatih Karahan enflasyon raporu sunumunda Temmuz ay\u0131nda t\u00fcketici enflasyonunun ayl\u0131k olarak ge\u00e7ici artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, enflasyon beklentilerinin tahmin aral\u0131\u011f\u0131na yak\u0131nsamas\u0131n\u0131n dezenflasyon a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan kritik \u00f6nemde oldu\u011funu s\u00f6ylemi\u015fti.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

T\u00fcrkiye \u0130statistik Kurumu (T\u00dc\u0130K), A\u011fustos ay\u0131 enflasyon rakamlar\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. T\u00dc\u0130K’e g\u00f6re T\u00fcketici Fiyat Endeksi (T\u00dcFE) ayl\u0131k y\u00fczde 2,47 artt\u0131, y\u0131ll\u0131k enflasyon ise yakla\u015f\u0131k 10 puan azalarak y\u00fczde 51,97’ye geriledi. Ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z ara\u015ft\u0131rma kurulu\u015fu ENAG’a g\u00f6re ise enflasyon A\u011fustos ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 3,47 artt\u0131, E-T\u00dcFE\u2019nin son 12 ayl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ise y\u00fczde 90,35 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Reuters haber ajans\u0131n\u0131n anketine …<\/p>\n

Ekonomistler y\u0131ll\u0131k enflasyondaki 10 puanl\u0131k d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc nas\u0131l yorumlad\u0131?<\/span> Devam\u0131 »<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":66098,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"set","footnotes":""},"categories":[19],"tags":[12],"yoast_head":"\nEkonomistler y\u0131ll\u0131k enflasyondaki 10 puanl\u0131k d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc nas\u0131l yorumlad\u0131? - Furkan News - G\u00fcncel \u0130slami Habeler - Furkan Hareketi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/furkannews.com\/ekonomistler-yillik-enflasyondaki-10-puanlik-dususu-nasil-yorumladi\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Ekonomistler y\u0131ll\u0131k enflasyondaki 10 puanl\u0131k d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc nas\u0131l yorumlad\u0131? - Furkan News - G\u00fcncel \u0130slami Habeler - Furkan Hareketi\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"T\u00fcrkiye \u0130statistik Kurumu (T\u00dc\u0130K), A\u011fustos ay\u0131 enflasyon rakamlar\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. T\u00dc\u0130K’e g\u00f6re T\u00fcketici Fiyat Endeksi (T\u00dcFE) ayl\u0131k y\u00fczde 2,47 artt\u0131, y\u0131ll\u0131k enflasyon ise yakla\u015f\u0131k 10 puan azalarak y\u00fczde 51,97’ye geriledi. Ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z ara\u015ft\u0131rma kurulu\u015fu ENAG’a g\u00f6re ise enflasyon A\u011fustos ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 3,47 artt\u0131, E-T\u00dcFE\u2019nin son 12 ayl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ise y\u00fczde 90,35 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Reuters haber ajans\u0131n\u0131n anketine … Ekonomistler y\u0131ll\u0131k enflasyondaki 10 puanl\u0131k d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc nas\u0131l yorumlad\u0131? 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